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股市不会造成系统性风险

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年08月19日 14:12:32
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(  基)(本)(面)(向)(好)(“双)(降)(”弥)(补)(流)(动)(性)(
  实)(际)(上)(,今)(年)(以)(来)(,中)(国)(经)(济)(保)(持)(了)(中)(高)(速)(增)(长)(。一)(季)(度)(、二)(季)(度)(和)(上)(半)(年)(国)(内)(生)(产)(总)(值)(均)(增)(长)(7%,符)(合)(7%左)(右)(的)(年)(度)(预)(期)(目)(标)(。
  昨)(日)(,李)(克)(强)(总)(理)(在)(会)(见)(哈)(萨)(克)(斯)(坦)(第)(一)(副)(总)(理)(萨)(金)(塔)(耶)(夫)(时)(指)(出)(,当)(前)(世)(界)(经)(济)(形)(势)(仍)(然)(扑)(朔)(迷)(离)(,市)(场)(波)(动)(较)(大)(,也)(使)(中)(国)(经)(济)(受)(到)(一)(些)(影)(响)(。但)(中)(国)(经)(济)(整)(体)(平)(稳)(的)(基)(本)(面)(没)(有)(变)(,经)(济)(运)(行)(仍)(保)(持)(在)(合)(理)(区)(间)(,而)(且)(支)(撑)(实)(体)(经)(济)(向)(好)(的)(积)(极)(因)(素)(正)(在)(不)(断)(积)(聚)(。
  在)(谈)(到)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(问)(题)(时)(,李)(克)(强)(说)(,近)(期)(我)(们)(完)(善)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(中)(间)(价)(报)(价)(机)(制)(,是)(顺)(应)(国)(际)(金)(融)(市)(场)(走)(势)(的)(合)(理)(举)(措)(,也)(是)(寓)(调)(整)(于)(改)(革)(之)(中)(。当)(前)(人)(民)(币)(汇)(率)(不)(存)(在)(持)(续)(贬)(值)(的)(基)(础)(,能)(够)(保)(持)(在)(合)(理)(均)(衡)(水)(平)(上)(的)(基)(本)(稳)(定)(。
  凯)(投)(宏)(观)(经)(济)(学)(家)(MarkWilliams认)(为)(,市)(场)(对)(于)(中)(国)(经)(济)(的)(恐)(慌)(情)(绪)(已)(经)(过)(度)(。
  Williams在)(最)(新)(的)(分)(析)(报)(告)(中)(指)(出)(,“中)(国)(股)(市)(泡)(沫)(的)(破)(灭)(并)(不)(能)(够)(反)(映)(中)(国)(经)(济)(的)(状)(况)(。”他)(说)(,实)(际)(上)(,近)(期)(的)(中)(国)(经)(济)(数)(据)(比)(之)(前)(更)(积)(极)(,这)(也)(暗)(示)(中)(国)(经)(济)(仍)(旧)(很)(强)(劲)(。同)(时)(,中)(国)(决)(策)(者)(们)(也)(做)(好)(了)(必)(要)(时)(进)(一)(步)(扩)(大)(宽)(松)(的)(准)(备)(。
  央)(行)(研)(究)(局)(局)(长)(陆)(磊)(则)(承)(认)(,国)(内)(国)(际)(经)(济)(形)(势)(和)(金)(融)(市)(场)(流)(动)(性)(状)(况)(是)(“双)(降)(”的)(主)(要)(触)(发)(因)(素)(。
  陆)(磊)(对)(《第)(一)(财)(经)(日)(报)(》表)(示)(,国)(际)(经)(济)(低)(迷)(促)(使)(我)(国)(以)(扩)(内)(需)(作)(为)(主)(攻)(方)(向)(恰)(逢)(其)(时)(。7月)(进)(出)(口)(总)(值)(同)(比)(负)(增)(长)(8.2%,工)(业)(增)(加)(值)(同)(比)(增)(长)(6.0%,工)(业)(企)(业)(利)(润)(总)(额)(累)(计)(负)(增)(长)(0.7%。外)(需)(的)(波)(动)(性)(要)(求)(扩)(大)(内)(需)(尤)(其)(是)(消)(费)(需)(求)(成)(为)(宏)(观)(调)(控)(的)(重)(要)(目)(标)(。
  陆)(磊)(认)(为)(,已)(到)(了)(以)(降)(息)(促)(使)(企)(业)(财)(务)(成)(本)(进)(一)(步)(降)(低)(、以)(降)(准)(促)(使)(金)(融)(机)(构)(具)(有)(更)(充)(分)(的)(金)(融)(资)(源)(调)(配)(能)(力)(、以)(定)(向)(降)(准)(推)(动)(金)(融)(机)(构)(支)(持)(消)(费)(的)(时)(间)(窗)(。
  而)(且)(,利)(率)(与)(汇)(率)(政)(策)(配)(合)(也)(恰)(逢)(其)(时)(。近)(期)(央)(行)(对)(人)(民)(币)(对)(主)(要)(货)(币)(中)(间)(价)(报)(价)(机)(制)(实)(施)(进)(一)(步)(完)(善)(,势)(必)(对)(金)(融)(体)(系)(本)(外)(币)(流)(动)(性)(构)(成)(结)(构)(性)(影)(响)(,存)(款)(准)(备)(金)(率)(下)(调)(实)(际)(上)(为)(金)(融)(体)(系)(注)(入)(了)(无)(期)(限)(流)(动)(性)(,可)(以)(有)(效)(增)(强)(金)(融)(机)(构)(针)(对)(货)(币)(市)(场)(波)(动)(实)(施)(流)(动)(性)(管)(理)(的)(能)(力)(。
  除)(降)(准)(外)(,近)(期)(央)(行)(还)(实)(施)(了)(扩)(大)(逆)(回)(购)(、中)(期)(借)(贷)(便)(利)((MLF)、抵)(押)(补)(充)(贷)(款)((PSL)等)(增)(加)(市)(场)(流)(动)(性)(和)(可)(贷)(资)(金)(的)(举)(措)(。
  “流)(动)(性)(紧)(张)(肯)(定)(不)(利)(于)(股)(市)(稳)(定)(。向)(金)(融)(体)(系)(注)(入)(流)(动)(性)(是)(必)(要)(的)(。而)(央)(行)(确)(实)(放)(松)(了)(银)(根)(,给)(市)(场)(注)(入)(了)(流)(动)(性)(。政)(府)(限)(制)(高)(杠)(杆)(融)(资)(和)(投)(机)(活)(动)(的)(措)(施)(也)(是)(正)(确)(的)(。”中)(国)(社)(科)(院)(学)(部)(委)(员)(、央)(行)(货)(币)(政)(策)(委)(员)(会)(原)(委)(员)(余)(永)(定)(对)(《第)(一)(财)(经)(日)(报)(》记)(者)(表)(示)(。
  不)(过)(,余)(永)(定)(认)(为)(,鉴)(于)(中)(国)(经)(济)(继)(续)(处)(于)(增)(长)(乏)(力)(状)(态)(、通)(货)(膨)(胀)(危)(险)(不)(大)(、企)(业)(融)(资)(成)(本)(偏)(高)(、企)(业)(债)(务)(负)(担)(严)(重)(、股)(市)(持)(续)(下)(跌)(等)(因)(素)(,进)(一)(步)(放)(松)(货)(币)(政)(策)(无)(法)(避)(免)(。但)(对)(汇)(市)(的)(影)(响)(也)(会)(相)(当)(巨)(大)(,如)(何)(应)(对)(是)(对)(央)(行)(的)(重)(大)(挑)(战)(。
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