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付雯萱:API尽显对油价不利、聚焦今晚EIA,11.2天然气现货原油晚间祸不单行

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年10月19日 18:47:59
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(原)(标)(题)(:付)(雯)(萱)(:API尽)(显)(对)(油)(价)(不)(利)(、聚)(焦)(今)(晚)(EIA,11.2天)(然)(气)(现)(货)(原)(油)(晚)(间)(祸)(不)(单)(行)(
尽)(管)(美)(联)(储)(决)(议)(即)(将)(到)(来)(,但)(在)(随)(着)(距)(离)(美)(国)(历)(史)(上)(最)(有)(喜)(剧)(性)(的)(总)(统)(大)(选)(仅)(有)(7天)(之)(际)(,市)(场)(几)(乎)(将)(所)(有)(目)(光)(都)(聚)(焦)(在)(国)(际)(政)(治)(方)(面)(的)(消)(息)(上)(。不)(过)(对)(于)(周)(三)(来)(说)(,金)(融)(市)(场)(暂)(时)(还)(是)(会)(将)(焦)(点)(转)(至)(FOMC决)(议)(,外)(界)(普)(遍)(预)(期)(美)(联)(储)(将)(按)(兵)(不)(动)(,因)(此)(关)(注)(的)(焦)(点)(无)(疑)(还)(是)(会)(在)(会)(后)(声)(明)(。市)(场)(上)(部)(分)(分)(析)(师)(指)(出)(,除)(非)(美)(联)(储)(给)(出)(12月)(加)(息)(较)(为)(明)(确)(的)(暗)(示)(,否)(则)(美)(元)(短)(线)(可)(能)(仍)(会)(因)(大)(选)(忧)(虑)(而)(遭)(受)(挫)(折)(;即)(便)(目)(前)(美)(联)(储)(强)(烈)(暗)(示)(12月)(加)(息)(,对)(于)(美)(元)(来)(说)(也)(只)(是)(短)(暂)(的)(“救)(星)(”,后)(市)(仍)(还)(是)(需)(要)(看)(美)(国)(大)(选)(的)(“脸)(色)(”。
风)(云)(聚)(集)(的)(11月)(波)(涛)(汹)(涌)(,各)(大)(数)(据)(,会)(议)(都)(在)(近)(期)(陆)(续)(开)(始)(,今)(日)(API数)(据)(没)(有)(意)(外)(的)(再)(次)(利)(空)(,产)(值)(增)(加)(这)(是)(在)(意)(料)(之)(中)(的)(,为)(今)(年)(3月)(以)(来)(最)(大)(增)(幅)(。因)(OPCE将)(在)(本)(月)(会)(议)(上)(达)(成)(减)(产)(协)(议)(,但)(过)(去)(两)(周)(中)(油)(价)(连)(续)(大)(幅)(度)(下)(跌)(,市)(场)(上)(的)(投)(资)(们)(也)(纷)(纷)(开)(始)(怀)(疑)(OPCE是)(否)(能)(成)(功)(,OPCE在)(9月)(阿)(尔)(及)(利)(亚)(会)(议)(上)(达)(成)(初)(步)(协)(议)(,同)(意)(将)(产)(量)(限)(制)(在)(3250-3300万)(桶)(/日)(之)(间)(,实)(际)(上)(就)(是)(同)(意)(减)(产)(协)(议)(,但)(是)(那)(些)(成)(员)(参)(与)(减)(产)(尚)(不)(得)(而)(知)(,具)(体)(细)(节)(将)(在)(本)(月)(OPCE会)(议)(大)(会)(中)(确)(定)(。
同)(时)(在)(上)(周)(周)(末)(在)(维)(也)(纳)(召)(开)(的)(OPCE与)(非)(OPCE成)(员)(国)(的)(会)(议)(最)(后)(无)(果)(而)(终)(,这)(次)(会)(议)(结)(束)(之)(后)(市)(场)(对)(冻)(产)(协)(议)(到)(底)(能)(否)(能)(到)(达)(怀)(疑)(明)(显)(有)(所)(加)(深)(,这)(场)(会)(议)(将)(会)(再)(次)(影)(响)(到)(油)(价)(的)(大)(涨)(大)(跌)(:如)(果)(OPCE未)(达)(成)(疲)(软)(的)(基)(本)(因)(素)(面)(油)(价)(将)(会)(遭)(到)(重)(创)(,40美)(元)(见)(将)(不)(是)(说)(说)(而)(已)(,会)(议)(达)(到)(油)(价)(将)(会)(直)(线)(飙)(升)(,短)(期)(走)(势)(来)(看)(油)(价)(依)(旧)(会)(处)(于)(低)(迷)(状)(态)(。
少)(年)(时)(追)(求)(激)(情)(,成)(熟)(后)(却)(迷)(恋)(平)(静)(。在)(我)(们)(寻)(找)(、伤)(害)(、背)(离)(之)(后)(,还)(能)(一)(如)(既)(往)(的)(相)(信)(未)(来)(,懂)(得)(坚)(持)(,这)(是)(一)(种)(勇)(气)(。在)(这)(个)(市)(场)(当)(中)(博)(弈)(,你)(是)(我)(猜)(不)(到)(的)(不)(知)(所)(措)(,我)(是)(你)(想)(不)(到)(的)(无)(关)(痛)(痒)(。我)(还)(在)(原)(地)(等)(你)(,你)(却)(忘)(经)(曾)(经)(来)(过)(这)(里)(,珍)(惜)(蓝)(天)(白)(云)(是)(因)(为)(拥)(有)(过)(雾)(霾)(的)(天)(气)(,喜)(欢)(单)(边)(行)(情)(是)(因)(为)(经)(历)(过)(震)(荡)(的)(行)(情)(。如)(果)(在)(交)(易)(当)(中)(等)(待)(是)(一)(种)(幸)(福)(,那)(么)(看)(准)(后)(的)(出)(手)(就)(是)(一)(种)(成)(全)(。
原)(油)(方)(面)(,凌)(晨)(API原)(油)(库)(存)(大)(增)(令)(油)(价)(短)(线)(下)(跌)(,目)(前)(整)(理)(于)(46.4美)(元)(一)(线)(附)(近)(。从)(日)(线)(技)(术)(图)(上)(看)(隔)(日)(原)(油)(收)(取)(一)(根)(长)(上)(影)(阴)(线)(,布)(林)(带)(持)(续)(开)(口)(运)(行)(,短)(期)(布)(林)(下)(轨)(于)(46附)(近)(形)(成)(关)(键)(支)(撑)(,MA5/MA10交)(死)(叉)(向)(下)(运)(行)(,附)(图)(MACD指)(标)(延)(续)(死)(叉)(继)(续)(向)(下)(运)(行)(,绿)(色)(量)(能)(增)(加)(,指)(标)(中)(性)(;从)(四)(小)(时)(图)(上)(看)(,布)(林)(带)(依)(然)(开)(口)(向)(下)(运)(行)(,说)(明)(趋)(势)(依)(旧)(是)(偏)(空)(,MA5/MA10均)(线)(交)(死)(叉)(于)(上)(方)(强)(行)(施)(压)(,附)(图)(MACD指)(标)(于)(0轴)(下)(方)(运)(行)(,绿)(色)(量)(能)(缩)(减)(,指)(标)(逐)(渐)(呈)(弱)(性)(;
综)(合)(来)(看)(,原)(油)(经)(过)(凌)(晨)(API数)(据)(重)(创)(之)(后)(,其)(下)(方)(逐)(渐)(逼)(近)(46美)(元)(关)(口)(,上)(方)(反)(弹)(之)(势)(扭)(转)(空)(头)(之)(力)(向)(油)(价)(施)(压)(,其)(上)(行)(动)(能)(乏)(力)(,日)(内)(欲)(以)(震)(荡)(修)(复)(模)(式)(来)(静)(待)(晚)(间)(的)(EIA数)(据)(。对)(于)(今)(天)(的)(操)(作)(上)(关)(注)(公)(众)(号)(付)(雯)(萱)(依)(旧)(是)(看)(空)(,日)(内)(以)(震)(荡)(为)(主)(。其)(上)(方)(重)(点)(关)(注)(47.0美)(元)(,而)(下)(方)(支)(撑)(点)(46.0美)(元)(位)(置)(则)(是)(后)(续)(下)(行)(风)(险)(的)(焦)(点)(。
1、日)(间)(任)(意)(点)(位)(布)(局)(多)(单)(,目)(标)(看)(到)(46.7附)(近)(,破)(位)(持)(有)(;
2、EIA数)(据)(提)(前)(布)(局)(轻)(仓)(空)(单)(,目)(标)(目)(标)(45.76,如)(果)(数)(据)(前)(小)(幅)(冲)(高)(到)(47美)(金)(,那)(么)(在)(此)(补)(仓)(空)(单)(;
3、只)(要)(数)(据)(公)(布)(后)(没)(有)(走)("V"型)(反)(转)(,空)(单)(仍)(可)(以)(阶)(段)(性)(持)(有)(,看)(到)(45美)(金)(;
西)(海)(岸)(天)(然)(气)(方)(面)(,从)(日)(线)(上)(来)(看)(,均)(线)(系)(统)(拐)(头)(向)(下)(发)(散)(运)(行)(,布)(林)(带)(张)(口)(扩)(大)(,行)(情)(运)(行)(在)(布)(林)(带)(下)(轨)(上)(方)(附)(近)(,附)(图)(MACD快)(慢)(线)(向)(下)(发)(散)(运)(行)(,绿)(色)(能)(量)(柱)(有)(增)(量)(迹)(象)(,KDJ三)(线)(指)(标)(向)(下)(发)(散)(运)(行)(在)(超)(卖)(区)(;从)(短)(线)(上)(来)(看)(,均)(线)(系)(统)(下)(行)(发)(散)(,布)(林)(带)(张)(口)(向)(下)(,价)(格)(运)(行)(在)(布)(林)(带)(下)(轨)(上)(方)(附)(近)(,附)(图)(MACD快)(慢)(线)(下)(行)(发)(散)(,绿)(色)(能)(量)(柱)(缩)(量)(,KDJ指)(标)(下)(行)(发)(散)(;综)(合)(来)(看)(,天)(然)(气)(目)(前)(大)(趋)(势)(仍)(然)(为)(空)(头)(,为)(什)(么)(这)(么)(说)(,我)(们)(可)(以)(从)(均)(线)(系)(统)(看)(出)(昨)(日)(价)(格)(的)(单)(边)(下)(跌)(加)(上)(早)(间)(开)(盘)(的)(跳)(空)(,无)(疑)(给)(空)(头)(增)(添)(了)(力)(量)(,所)(以)(今)(日)(操)(作)(上)(笔)(者)(建)(议)(以)(做)(空)(为)(主)(。重)(点)(关)(注)(上)(方)(5910一)(线)(阻)(力)(位)(,同)(时)(还)(是)(我)(之)(前)(一)(直)(在)(提)(醒)(的)(是)(我)(们)(在)(操)(盘)(的)(过)(种)(中)(,强)(调)(的)(是)(对)(行)(情)(的)(理)(解)(和)(洞)(察)(能)(力)(。无)(论)(操)(作)(是)(对)(还)(是)(错)(,都)(必)(须)(要)(有)(操)(作)(的)(理)(由)(。否)(则)(,都)(只)(会)(沦)(为)(赌)(博)(。我)(们)(安)(稳)(赚)(钱)(,把)(握)(机)(会)(,我)(们)(稳)(健)(获)(利)(,这)(才)(是)(真)(正)(的)(投)(资)(取)(胜)(之)(道)(。
1、首)(见)(5830附)(近)(空)(单)(进)(场)(,止)(损)(40点)(,目)(标)(5665,破)(位)(持)(有)(看)(5600;
2、做)(趋)(势)(,我)(们)(仍)(然)(是)(反)(弹)(就)(补)(空)(,盈)(利)(减)(仓)(。
——以)(上)(思)(路)(仅)(供)(参)(考)(,具)(体)(操)(作)(以)(笔)(者)((公)(众)(号)(付)(雯)(萱)()实)(盘)(为)(准)(,盈)(亏)(请)(自)(行)(把)(控)(。由)(于)(时)(段)(不)(同)(点)(位)(分)(析)(不)(同)(,具)(体)(点)(位)(以)(本)(人)(实)(时)(分)(析)(为)(准)(。即)(时)(操)(作)(策)(略)(笔)(者)(盘)(中)(实)(时)(指)(导)(。返)(回)(搜)(狐)(,查)(看)(更)(多)(
责)(任)(编)(辑)(:
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