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央行直接购买股票的理由不成立

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年10月19日 18:52:20
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(原)(标)(题)(:央)(行)(直)(接)(购)(买)(股)(票)(的)(理)(由)(不)(成)(立)(
(图)(片)(来)(源)(:全)(景)(视)(觉)()
盛)(松)(成)(沈)(新)(凤)(/文)(近)(期)(,市)(场)(出)(现)(了)(中)(国)(人)(民)(银)(行)(可)(能)(考)(虑)(购)(买)(股)(票)(的)(传)(闻)(。我)(们)(认)(为)(,央)(行)(直)(接)(购)(买)(股)(票)(或)(者)(ETF的)(理)(由)(不)(成)(立)(。
根)(据)(《中)(国)(人)(民)(银)(行)(法)(》第)(四)(章)(第)(二)(十)(三)(条)(规)(定)(,中)(国)(人)(民)(银)(行)(可)(以)(在)(公)(开)(市)(场)(上)(买)(卖)(国)(债)(、其)(他)(政)(府)(债)(券)(和)(金)(融)(债)(券)(及)(外)(汇)(。法)(无)(禁)(止)(即)(可)(为)(,理)(论)(上)(,中)(国)(人)(民)(银)(行)(法)(并)(没)(有)(明)(令)(禁)(止)(央)(行)(购)(买)(股)(票)(或)(股)(票)(ETF的)(行)(为)(。但)(是)(,从)(各)(个)(方)(面)(考)(虑)(,央)(行)(都)(没)(有)(必)(要)(直)(接)(购)(买)(股)(票)(。
第)(一)(,目)(前)(中)(国)(金)(融)(体)(系)(总)(体)(稳)(定)(,央)(行)(没)(有)(必)(要)(进)(入)(股)(票)(市)(场)(。全)(世)(界)(主)(要)(经)(济)(体)(中)(,仅)(日)(本)(央)(行)(有)(购)(买)(股)(票)(或)(股)(票)(ETF的)(先)(例)(,其)(目)(的)(无)(外)(乎)(两)(个)(:金)(融)(稳)(定)(、货)(币)(宽)(松)(。2017年)(10月)(,中)(共)(十)(九)(大)(报)(告)(提)(出)(的)(“三)(大)(攻)(坚)(战)(”中)(,有)(一)(项)(就)(是)(防)(范)(化)(解)(重)(大)(风)(险)(,尤)(其)(是)(金)(融)(风)(险)(。截)(至)(目)(前)(,我)(国)(金)(融)(体)(系)(总)(体)(稳)(定)(,股)(票)(市)(场)(经)(历)(2018年)(的)(大)(幅)(下)(跌)(,已)(经)(进)(入)(底)(部)(区)(间)(,估)(值)(较)(低)(,股)(票)(市)(场)(总)(体)(上)(是)(健)(康)(的)(。2018年)(以)(来)(,国)(家)(也)(已)(经)(通)(过)(多)(个)(途)(径)(化)(解)(股)(权)(质)(押)(风)(险)(。因)(而)(央)(行)(没)(有)(必)(要)(参)(与)(购)(买)(股)(票)(。此)(外)(,平)(准)(基)(金)(已)(经)(可)(以)(有)(效)(应)(对)(股)(票)(市)(场)(波)(动)(风)(险)(,没)(必)(要)(另)(起)(炉)(灶)(。
第)(二)(,央)(行)(购)(买)(股)(票)(容)(易)(加)(大)(股)(价)(波)(动)(性)(,很)(可)(能)(扰)(乱)(市)(场)(定)(价)(功)(能)(。散)(户)(在)(我)(国)(股)(票)(市)(场)(的)(占)(比)(较)(高)(,容)(易)(追)(涨)(杀)(跌)(,加)(剧)(市)(场)(波)(动)(。央)(行)(直)(接)(参)(与)(购)(买)(股)(票)(,很)(可)(能)(扰)(乱)(市)(场)(的)(价)(格)(发)(现)(功)(能)(,如)(果)(出)(现)(跟)(风)(行)(为)(,反)(而)(会)(进)(一)(步)(加)(大)(股)(价)(的)(波)(动)(。若)(央)(行)(购)(买)(ETF,那)(么)(无)(论)(是)(指)(数)(型)(ETF还)(是)(板)(块)(型)(ETF,均)(没)(有)(很)(强)(的)(意)(义)(。有)(观)(点)(认)(为)(,央)(行)(进)(入)(股)(票)(市)(场)(,可)(以)(支)(持)(某)(些)(重)(点)(领)(域)(的)(发)(展)(。我)(们)(认)(为)(,行)(业)(发)(展)(更)(加)(依)(赖)(其)(他)(的)(货)(币)(政)(策)(工)(具)(、财)(政)(政)(策)(以)(及)(产)(业)(政)(策)(,而)(不)(是)(通)(过)(央)(行)(进)(入)(相)(应)(的)(股)(票)(市)(场)(。
第)(三)(,央)(行)(货)(币)(政)(策)(工)(具)(箱)(里)(储)(备)(工)(具)(较)(多)(,目)(前)(仍)(应)(该)(坚)(持)(稳)(健)(的)(货)(币)(政)(策)(。我)(国)(目)(前)(实)(行)(的)(是)(稳)(健)(的)(货)(币)(政)(策)(,货)(币)(政)(策)(工)(具)(箱)(里)(的)(工)(具)(有)(很)(多)(,无)(论)(是)(数)(量)(型)(、价)(格)(型)(工)(具)(,或)(者)(总)(量)(型)(、结)(构)(型)(工)(具)(,比)(如)(存)(款)(准)(备)(金)(率)(、公)(开)(市)(场)(操)(作)(利)(率)(、TMLF、MLF、PSL等)(等)(。通)(过)(央)(行)(购)(买)(股)(票)(来)(施)(行)(货)(币)(政)(策)(不)(现)(实)(,容)(易)(使)(得)(市)(场)(将)(股)(票)(涨)(跌)(和)(央)(行)(货)(币)(政)(策)(绑)(架)(起)(来)(,这)(是)(不)(理)(性)(的)(。2019年)(中)(央)(经)(济)(工)(作)(会)(议)(以)(及)(央)(行)(工)(作)(会)(议)(均)(提)(出)(货)(币)(政)(策)(保)(持)(稳)(健)(,而)(非)(大)(水)(漫)(灌)(。而)(央)(行)(直)(接)(在)(二)(级)(市)(场)(购)(买)(股)(票)(无)(异)(于)(“直)(升)(机)(撒)(钱)(”。考)(虑)(到)(由)(此)(而)(新)(增)(的)(货)(币)(供)(应)(首)(先)(是)(由)(二)(级)(市)(场)(的)(投)(资)(者)(获)(得)(,而)(不)(是)(直)(接)(进)(入)(实)(体)(经)(济)(,此)(举)(更)(加)(不)(符)(合)(我)(国)(当)(前)(的)(货)(币)(政)(策)(取)(向)(。实)(际)(上)(,2008金)(融)(危)(机)(之)(后)(日)(本)(央)(行)(的)(货)(币)(宽)(松)(效)(果)(一)(直)(不)(理)(想)(,根)(源)(在)(日)(本)(自)(身)(的)(经)(济)(结)(构)(问)(题)(,并)(非)(货)(币)(政)(策)(大)(水)(漫)(灌)(可)(以)(解)(决)(。
第)(四)(,央)(行)(进)(入)(股)(票)(市)(场)(,将)(出)(现)(监)(管)(难)(题)(,并)(且)(容)(易)(影)(响)(央)(行)(货)(币)(政)(策)(的)(独)(立)(性)(。居)(民)(和)(机)(构)(来)(投)(资)(股)(票)(,由)(交)(易)(所)(和)(中)(国)(证)(监)(会)(监)(管)(。同)(时)(,证)(监)(会)(也)(可)(以)(控)(制)(协)(调)(平)(准)(基)(金)(的)(运)(作)(。如)(果)(央)(行)(直)(接)(买)(股)(票)(,应)(该)(由)(谁)(来)(协)(调)(,由)(谁)(来)(监)(管)(?这)(些)(问)(题)(我)(们)(认)(为)(没)(有)(人)(回)(答)(得)(了)(。
第)(五)(,健)(康)(的)(股)(票)(市)(场)(决)(定)(于)(上)(市)(公)(司)(和)(证)(券)(市)(场)(制)(度)(改)(革)(。上)(市)(公)(司)(要)(有)(好)(的)(经)(营)(意)(识)(,真)(正)(努)(力)(做)(成)(好)(公)(司)(,做)(成)(“百)(年)(老)(店)(”,做)(成)(具)(备)(国)(际)(竞)(争)(力)(的)(大)(企)(业)(。资)(本)(市)(场)(改)(革)(任)(重)(道)(远)(,如)(何)(从)(上)(市)(、交)(易)(、退)(市)(等)(多)(个)(方)(面)(深)(化)(改)(革)(,构)(建)(健)(康)(的)(资)(本)(市)(场)(,才)(是)(我)(们)(应)(该)(考)(虑)(的)(问)(题)(。
盛)(松)(成)(系)(中)(欧)(陆)(家)(嘴)(国)(际)(金)(融)(研)(究)(院)(常)(务)(副)(院)(长)(、中)(国)(人)(民)(银)(行)(调)(查)(统)(计)(司)(原)(司)(长)(;沈)(新)(凤)(为)(东)(北)(证)(券)(首)(席)(宏)(观)(分)(析)(师)(。
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